On May 13, 2024, a fresh poll commissioned by the New York Times showed Trump ahead of Joe Biden in five of the six states. This lead is not yet within the margins that give Trump a decisive advantage.
Potential legal problems and the unpredictable impact of former associates’ testimony contribute to the uncertainty of Trump’s position.
On the same day, the poll was released, Michael Cohen, Trump’s former lawyer, testified in court. The emergence of testimony from figures like Michael Cohen can significantly undermine Trump’s electoral support.
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